Research shows that gambling on poker machines(opens in a new window) is associated with high levels of gambling harm in Victoria. In 2024–25 alone, Victorians lost over $3 billion on pokies. Understanding how they work can help reduce your risk of gambling harm.
Why they're risky
- Speed of play – Fast spins can lead to impulsive gambling.
- Near-misses – These can trick your brain into thinking you're close to winning.
- Losses disguised as wins – Sounds and lights play even when you lose money.
- Random outcomes – Each spin is independent and random, regardless of what’s happened before.
How outcomes and returns work
Every time you press the spin button on a poker machine, the result is random.
- Each spin is independent — previous results don’t affect future outcomes
- There is no pattern, cycle or “due win”
- Near-misses or “almost wins” don’t mean a win is coming
This means there is no strategy or system that can guarantee a win or improve your chances.
Understanding Return to Player (RTP)
Return to Player (RTP) describes how much a poker machine is designed to return to players over its lifetime.
In Victoria, poker machines must meet a minimum RTP (generally around 85% or higher).
What RTP means for you
RTP is often misunderstood.
It’s important to know that RTP:
- Is calculated over a long period of time (thousands or millions of spins)
- Does not apply to a single player or session
- Does not guarantee you will get a certain amount back
In a short session, you might:
- Win more than you put in
- Lose everything you put in
- Or experience a mix of both
But over time, poker machines are designed so that losses are expected.
Why wins can be misleading
You might see poker machine wins shared online, especially on social media.
These often show:
- Large payouts
- Bonus features or “free spins”
- Celebrations and exciting moments
These moments don’t show the full picture.
Poker machines are designed so that:
- Losses happen regularly, even during engaging or exciting gameplay
- Over time, players lose more than they win
Myths about the pokies
Common myths that encourage continued gambling include:
- ‘The machine is due for a win.’
- ‘Playing longer increases my chances.’
- ‘If I win once, I’ll win again.’
- ‘Machines are rigged.’
The truth is, pokies are designed to make money for the venue operator, and the odds of winning big are extremely low. Pokies are also routinely tested and regulated for fairness.
Tips for safer play
- Set limits with YourPlay(opens in a new window).
- Take regular breaks and track your time.
- Avoid playing while under the influence.
- Don’t try to win back money you’ve lost.
Learn more about setting limits(opens in a new window) to reduce risks of experiencing gambling harm.
Regulatory oversight
The VGCCC monitors and regulates poker machines to ensure fairness, transparency and responsible operation.
Support services
- Gambler’s Help(opens in a new window) – Counselling, financial support, peer programs and First Nations support call 1800 858 858.
- Gambling Help Online(opens in a new window) – 24/7 online chat and resources.
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